Previous Year Market Overview

Turkish Passenger Car Market — 2025 Actual Data

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Monthly Sales — 2025
YTD: —
Monthly Comparison — Last 3 Years
Monthly Trend — All Years
Top 10 Brands — 2025 Market Share

⚡ Electric Vehicle Market Analysis

Türkiye Elektrikli Araç Pazarı — Yıllık Trend ve Marka Analizi (ODMD)

2025 EV Sales
191,960
Passenger Cars
EV Market Share
17.7%
of Total Market
YoY Growth
+82.3%
vs 2024
Top EV Brand
TOGG
39,020 units
EV Sales Trend — Annual (2019-2025)
EV Market Share by Year (%)
Top 10 EV Models — 2025
EV Brand Market Share — 2025
EV Sales by Brand — Year-by-Year
#Brand 20212022202320242025 Growth 24→25
Top 10 Best-Selling EV Models — 2025
#ModelBrand2025 SalesEV Share

Market Predictions

12-Month Forecast Using Ensemble ML Models + Intelligent Correction

ℹ️ Click "Run Predictions" to generate forecasts using SARIMAX, XGBoost, Holt-Winters, and ensemble models
Ensemble Forecast — Next 12 Months
Model Comparison
Inflation Rate (CPI) — Year-End
USD/TRY Exchange Rate — Year-End
⚡ Top 10 EV Models — 2026 Predicted

Based on 2025 actuals, brand growth trajectories & market share momentum

🔋 Total BEV Market Prediction — 2025 Actual → 2030

Battery Electric Vehicle total volume forecast based on market growth trajectory & penetration analysis

🔌 Total PHEV Market Prediction — 2025 Actual → 2030

Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle total volume forecast based on market growth trajectory & ÖTV incentive analysis (HEV hariç)

🏷️ Marka Bazlı Ürün Gamı Analizi — 2026

Seçilen markanın ürün gamı, aylık satış tahmini ve fiyat analizi

☝️ Yukarıdan bir marka seçerek ürün gamı analizini görüntüleyin

Backtest & Ablation

Walk-Forward Validation & Combinatorial Feature Testing

📊 Model Backtesting
Test Year:
ℹ️ Select a test year to run walk-forward backtesting across all models
🧪 Ablation Lab

Combinatorial Feature Testing — Every single & pair removal (153+ combos)

ℹ️ Select a year and click Run to test every feature combination. Takes ~30-60 seconds.

Feature Importance Analysis

Ablation Study — Remove each economic feature and measure prediction accuracy change

Click Run Analysis

🌐 Turkey Macro Economic Analysis for Automotive — 5-Year Trend & Forecast

2021–2025 Historical Data + 2026–2030 Predicted Trend (Line Charts)

📈 GDP Growth (%) & GDP Per Capita (USD)
💰 Per Capita Disposable Income — PCDI (TRY)
💱 Currency & Exchange Rate (USD/TRY vs EUR/TRY)
📊 Unemployment Rate (%)
⚖️ Gini Coefficient — Income Inequality Index
🚗 Cars per 1,000 Inhabitants
📐 R-Value — Correlation Analysis (Car Sales vs Economic Indicators)

Market Shift Analysis

Beyan (Declared) vs Gerçek Tescil (Registered) — Yıllık Fark Analizi

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Declared vs Registered — Annual Comparison
Annual Difference (Registered − Declared)
Brand-Level Shift by Year (Top 5 Brands)
Declared vs Registered — Year-by-Year Summary
YearDeclared (Beyan)Registered (Gerçek) FarkFark %Direction
Top 5 Brand Deviations per Year
YearMkt Δ #1 Brand#1 Δ #2 Brand#2 Δ #3 Brand#3 Δ #4 Brand#4 Δ #5 Brand#5 Δ

Economic Indicators

Macroeconomic Variables Used in Predictions (2010–2025)

USD/TRY Exchange Rate
Interest Rate vs Inflation
All Economic Features
🏦 Bayi DBS Limit Analizi — 2026

Aylık satış tahminlerine göre bayi finansman ihtiyacı (Bayi Net × KDV)

☝️ Yukarıdan bir marka seçerek DBS limit analizini görüntüleyin

📣 Marketing Bütçe Planı — 2026

Seçilen markanın satış tahminlerine dayalı 360° pazarlama stratejisi

💰 ATL vs BTL Bütçe Dağılımı
📊 Kanal Bazlı Bütçe
🎯 360° Pazarlama Aktiviteleri — 2026

DND & RND

Bayi Dağılım Ağı ve Bölgesel Araştırma & Geliştirme Analizi

🗺️ Bayi Dağılım Haritası — Türkiye

Seçilen markanın Türkiye genelindeki bayi dağılımı. İl üzerine gelince detayları görüntüleyin.